Success in grand slam junior singles seems to be a better indication of ATP tour success than year end rankings.

Today, I will be begin to look at a few trends in from year end top ten junior stats from this previous blog.

Players who did have a successful ATP career

Andy Roddick transitioned from a successful junior
career to a successful pro career, winning 1 Grand Slam
and 32 titles.

First, I want to look at the players that had the most success going from junior tennis to senior tennis. I will be looking at 3 different players from three different years. Andy Roddick (2000), Andy Murray (2003) and Bernard Tomic (2007). Of the three, only Andy Roddick reached number 1 as a junior (Murray and Tomic reached #2).

I have decided to only include results from the year that year end top ten status was achieved and years after for players that reached the top ten before their last year of eligibility. I did not want to punish players that managed to make the main draw of these junior events at a young age, but struggled because they were not yet top juniors.

Andy Roddick (2000 and after) 

GS Wins

• 2000 Junior US Open

• 2000 Junior Australian Open

GS QF

• 2000 Junior Roland Garros

Andy Murray (2003 and after) 

GS Win

• 2004 Junior US Open

GS SF

• 2005 Junior Roland Garros

GS QF

• 2003 Junior US Open

GS 3rd Round

• 2003 Junior Roland Garros

• 2004 Junior Wimbledon

GS 1st Round

• 2003 Junior Wimbledon 

Bernard Tomic (2007 and after) 

GS Wins

• 2009 Junior US Open

• 2008 Junior Australian Open

GS SF

• 2009 Junior Wimbledon

• 2008 Junior Wimbledon

GS QF

• 2008 Junior Roland Garros

GS 3rd Round

• 2009 Junior Roland Garros

• 2007 Junior US Open 

GS 2nd Round

• 2007 Junior Roland Garros

• 2007 Junior Australian Open

GS 1st Round

• 2008 Junior US Open

Note: These three players combined for 11 grand slam quarter-finals or better in 19 opportunities.

____________________________________________________________________________

Players who did not have a successful ATP career

Sebastian Rieschick struggled
in junior grand slam events
and that struggle went with
him to the pro circuit.

Second, I want to look at three players that did not achieve success on the ATP tour after the junior career. Again, I will choose from three different years. I am attempting to avoid players that were plagued by injury, I would rather pick players that were not able to make it for reasons within their control.

My choices for the category of players that did not have success are Ramon Valent (2000, 2001), Sebastian Rieschick (2003) and Stephane Piro (2006). Sebastian Rieschick reached a career high of #1 in the world, while Roman Valent and Stephane Piro reached #3 and #4 respectively.

Ramon Valent (2000 and after)

GS Win

• 2001 Wimbledon

GS QF

• 2001 Australian Open

GS 3rd Round

• 2000 Wimbledon

GS 1st Round

• 2001 Roland Garros

• 2000 US Open

• 2000 Roland Garros

Sebastian Rieschick (2003 and after) 

GS 3rd Round

• 2004 Wimbledon

• 2003 US Open

• 2003 Wimbledon

GS 2nd Round

• 2004 Roland Garros

• 2004 Australian Open

GS 1st Round

• 2004 US Open

Stephane Piro (2006 and after) 

GS 3rd Round

• 2007 Roland Garros

GS 2nd Round

• 2007 US Open

GS 1st Round

• 2007 Wimbledon

• 2006 Roland Garros

GS Failed to Qualify

• 2006 Australian Open

Note: These three players combined for 2 grand slam quarterfinals or better in 17 opportunities.

____________________________________________________________________________

I will fully admit that my sample size is small but I do see a conclusion here.

Conclusion: Success in grand slam junior singles seems to be a better indication of ATP tour success than year end rankings.

What does this mean for 2012 prospects?

Filip Peliwo made all four grand slam finals in 2012,
winning Wimbledon and the US Open.

In 2012, Filip Peliwo reached all four grand slam finals, winning both Wimbledon and the US Open. The future could be bright for him. Frederico Silva of Portugal participated in seven junior grand slams in 2012 and 2013 and did not advance pass the 3rd round. According to my conclusion, his future does not look bright.

What does it mean for 2013 prospects?

I want to make a prediction here, but with so many of these top ranked players still being eligible for junior tennis this season, it is still too difficult to see who will fit which trend.

Update: Does success in boys tennis lead to success on the ATP Tour

I am looking back on a blog post from two years ago, updating the stats. Any player that has achieved a new career high in the last two years is in red as well as any player that has won an ATP title.

Analysis will come in an upcoming blog.

Also, I have added the top 10 in boys tennis from the past two years at the bottom.

2000 Top Ten

1	Andy RODDICK (USA) - Career High: 1 - 1 GS, 4 GSF - 32 titles - 612 ATP wins
2	Todor ENEV (BUL) - Career High: 252 - 9 ATP wins
3	Joachim JOHANSSON (SWE) - Career High: 9 - 3 titles - 72 ATP wins
4	Mario ANCIC (CRO) - Career High: 7 - 3 titles - 208 ATP wins
5	Nicolas MAHUT (FRA) - Career High: 39 - 2 titles - 131 ATP wins
6	Ytai ABOUGZIR (USA) - Career High: 929 - 0 ATP, 0 Challenger wins
7	Roman VALENT (SUI) - Career High: 300 - 0 ATP wins, 21 Challenger wins
8	Yen-Hsun LU (TPE) - Career High: 33 - 110 ATP wins
9	Adrian CRUCIAT (ROU) - Career High: 148 - 1 ATP win, 50 Challenger wins
10	Bruno SOARES (BRA) - Career High: 221 - 2 ATP wins - Doubles CH: 3

2001 Top Ten

1	Gilles MULLER (LUX) - Career High: 42 - 115 ATP wins
2	Janko TIPSAREVIC (SRB) - Career High: 8 - 4 titles - 265 ATP wins
3	Brian DABUL (ARG) - Career High: 82 - 15 ATP wins
4	Robin SODERLING (SWE) - Career High: 4 - 2 GSF - 10 titles - 310 ATP wins
5	Jimmy WANG (TPE) - Career High: 85 - 36 ATP wins
6	Lamine OUAHAB (ALG) - Career High: 114 - 9 ATP wins
7	Alejandro FALLA (COL) - Career High: 48 - 95 ATP wins
8	Roman VALENT (SUI) - Career High: 300 - 0 ATP wins, 21 Challenger wins
9	Bruno ECHAGARAY (MEX) - Career High: 156 - 5 ATP wins
10	Florian MAYER (GER) - Career High: 18 - 1 title - 216 ATP wins

2002 Top Ten

1	Richard GASQUET (FRA) - Career High: 7 - 10 titles - 358 ATP wins
2	Marcos BAGHDATIS (CYP) - Career High: 8 - 4 titles - 259 ATP wins
3	Clement MOREL (MON) - Career High: 387 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
4	Todd REID (AUS) - Career High: 105 - 14 ATP wins
5	Brian DABUL (ARG) - Career High: 82 - 15 ATP wins
6	Brian BAKER (USA) - Career High: 52 - 18 ATP wins
7	Marcel FELDER (URU) - Career High: 227 - 19 ATP wins
8	Lamine OUAHAB (ALG) - Career High: 114 - 9 ATP wins
9	Martin VILARRUBI (URU) - Career High: 405 - 6 ATP wins
10	Steve DARCIS (BEL) - Career High: 44 - 2 titles - 75 ATP wins

2003 Top Ten

1	Marcos BAGHDATIS (CYP) - Career High: 8 - 4 titles - 259 ATP wins
2	Jo-Wilfried TSONGA (FRA) - Career High: 5 - 1 GSF, 10 titles - 292 ATP wins
3	Florin MERGEA (ROU) - Career High: 243 - 3 ATP wins
4	Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER (ESP) - Career High: 48 - 68 ATP wins
5	Sebastian RIESCHICK (GER) - Career High: 199 - 1 ATP win
6	Andy MURRAY (GBR) - Career High: 2 - 2 GSW & 5 GSF, 28 titles - 434 ATP wins
7	Brian BAKER (USA) - Career High: 52 - 18 ATP wins
8	Leonardo KIRCHE (BRA) - Career High: 193 - 1 ATP win
9	Alex KUZNETSOV (USA) - Career High: 120 - 8 ATP wins
10	Frederico GIL (POR) - Career High: 62 - 65 ATP wins

2004 Top Ten

1	Gael MONFILS (FRA) - Career High: 7 - 5 titles - 289 ATP wins
2	Eduardo SCHWANK (ARG) - Career High: 48 - 40 ATP wins
3	Brendan EVANS (USA) - Career High: 117 - 6 ATP wins
4	Woong-Sun JUN (KOR) - Career High: 230 - 10 ATP wins
5	Sun-Yong KIM (KOR) - Career High: 620 - 3 ATP wins
6	Mischa ZVEREV (GER) - Career High: 45 - 61 ATP wins
7	Pablo ANDUJAR (ESP) - Career High: 33 - 2 titles - 84 ATP wins
8	Scott OUDSEMA (USA) - Career High: 255 - 1 ATP win
9	Lukas LACKO (SVK) - Career High: 44 - 60 ATP wins
10	Rafael AREVALO (ESA) - Career High: 374 - 14 ATP wins

2005 Top Ten

1	Donald YOUNG (USA) - Career High: 38 - 43 ATP wins
2	Marin CILIC (CRO) - Career High: 9 - 11 titles - 271 ATP wins
3	Ryan SWEETING (USA) - Career High: 64 - 1 title - 35 ATP wins
4	Jeremy CHARDY (FRA) - Career High: 25 - 1 title - 139 ATP wins
5	Leonardo MAYER (ARG) - Career High: 51 - 68 ATP wins
6	Robin HAASE (NED) - Career High: 33 - 2 titles - 116 ATP wins
7	Robin ROSHARDT (SUI) - Career High: 509 - 0 ATP wins, 3 Challenger wins
8	Niels DESEIN (BEL) - Career High: 164 - 0 ATP wins, 36 Challenger wins
9	Thiemo DE BAKKER (NED) - Career High: 40 - 53 ATP wins
10	Andre MIELE (BRA) - Career High: 229 - 0 ATP wins, 20 Challenger wins

2006 Top Ten

1	Thiemo DE BAKKER (NED) - Career High: 40 - 53 ATP wins
2	Nicolas SANTOS (BRA) - Career High: 457 - 0 ATP wins, 1 Challenger win
3	Martin KLIZAN (SVK) - Career High: 26 - 1 title - 44 ATP wins
4	Jonathan EYSSERIC (FRA) - Career High: 202 - 0 ATP wins, 33 Challenger wins
5	Petru-Alexandru LUNCANU (ROU) - Career High: 304 - 0 ATP wins, 9 Challenger wins
6	Dusan LOJDA (CZE) - Career High: 161 - 0 ATP wins, 63 Challenger wins
7	Alexandre SIDORENKO (FRA) - Career High: 145 - 3 ATP wins
8	Luka BELIC (CRO) - Career High: 620 - 0 ATP, 0 Challenger wins
9	Kellen DAMICO (USA) - Career High: 1364 - 0 ATP, 0 Challenger matchs
10	Pavel CHEKHOV (RUS) - Career High: 231 - 0 ATP, 17 Challenger wins

2007 Top Ten

1	Ricardas BERANKIS (LTU) - Career High: 67 - 43 ATP wins
2	Uladzimir IGNATIK (BLR) - Career High: 137 - 13 ATP wins
3	Matteo TREVISAN (ITA) - Career High: 267 - 0 ATP wins, 31 Challenger wins
4	Jonathan EYSSERIC (FRA) - Career High: 202 - 0 ATP wins, 33 Challenger wins
5	Fernando ROMBOLI (BRA) - Career High: 236 - 0 ATP wins, 24 Challenger wins
6	Stephane PIRO (FRA) - Career High: 931 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
7	Thomas FABBIANO (ITA) - Career High: 167 - 0 ATP wins, 58 Challenger wins
8	Roman JEBAVY (CZE) - Career High: 297 - 0 ATP wins, 3 Challenger wins
9	Ricardo URZUA-RIVERA (CHI) - Career High: 412 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
10	John-Patrick SMITH (AUS) - Career High: 205 - 0 ATP wins, 37 Challenger wins

2008 Top Ten

1	Tsung-Hua YANG (TPE) - Career High: 164 - 4 ATP wins
2	Yuki BHAMBRI (IND) - Career High: 143 - 12 ATP wins
3	Bernard TOMIC (AUS) - Career High: 27 - 1 title - 76 ATP wins
4	Henri KONTINEN (FIN) - Career High: 220 - 7 ATP wins
5	Cedrik-Marcel STEBE (GER) - Career High: 71 - 15 ATP wins
6	Guillaume RUFIN (FRA) - Career High: 81 - 16 ATP wins
7	Cesar RAMIREZ (MEX) - Career High: 391 - 8 ATP wins
8	Jose PEREIRA (BRA) - Career High: 444 - 0 ATP wins, 9 Challenger wins
9	David GOFFIN (BEL) - Career High: 42 - 32 ATP wins
10	Mirza BASIC (BIH) - Career High: 202 - 3 ATP wins, 24 Challenger wins

2009 Top Ten

1	Daniel BERTA (SWE) - Career High: 637 - 0 ATP wins & 1 Challenger win
2	Gianni MINA (FRA) - Career High: 395 - 0 ATP wins & 2 Challenger win
3	Agustin VELOTTI (ARG) - Career High: 166 - 0 ATP wins & 53 Challenger wins
4	Jason KUBLER (AUS) - Career High: 268 - 0 ATP wins, 2 Challenger wins
5	Julien OBRY (FRA) - Career High: 274 - 0 ATP wins & 4 Challenger win
6	Mitchell FRANK (USA) - Career High: 622 - 0 ATP wins & 4 Challenger wins
7	Liang-Chi HUANG (TPE) - Career High: 228 - 3 ATP wins & 9 Challenger wins
8	Andrea COLLARINI (USA) - Career High: 207 - 0 ATP wins & 23 Challenger wins
9	Pierre-Hugues HERBERT (FRA) - Career High: 134 - 2 ATP wins & 39 Challenger wins
10	Andrey KUZNETSOV (RUS) - Career High: 68 - 17 ATP wins & 66 Challenger wins

2010 Top Ten

1	Juan Sebastian GOMEZ (COL) - Career High: 474 - 0 ATP wins, 2 Challenger wins
2	Marton FUCSOVICS (HUN) - Career High: 173 - 5 ATP wins, 19 Challenger wins
3	Jiri VESELY (CZE) - Career High: 77 - 2 ATP wins, 35 Challenger wins
4	Damir DZUMHUR (BIH) - Career High: 144 - 7 ATP wins, 36 Challenger wins
5	Dominic THIEM (AUT) - Career High: 99 - 8 ATP wins, 18 Challenger wins
6	Tiago FERNANDES (BRA) - Career High: 371 - 0 ATP wins, 13 Challenger wins
7	Roberto QUIROZ (ECU) - Career High: 594 - 1 ATP wins, 5 Challenger wins
8	Duilio BERETTA (PER) - Career High: 364 - 5 ATP wins, 10 Challenger wins
9	Agustin VELOTTI (ARG) - Career High: 166 - 0 ATP wins & 53 Challenger wins
10	Mate PAVIC (CRO) - Career High: 295 - 2 ATP wins, 7 Challenger wins

2011 Top Ten

1	Jiri VESELY (CZE) - Career High: 77 - 2 ATP wins, 35 Challenger wins
2	Luke SAVILLE (AUS) - Career High: 320 - 0 ATP wins, 5 Challenger wins
3	Oliver GOLDING (GBR) - Career High: 352 - 0 ATP wins, 2 Challenger wins
4	Dominic THIEM (AUT) - Career High: 99 - 8 ATP wins, 18 Challenger wins
5	Bjorn FRATANGELO (USA) - Career High: 292 - 0 ATP wins, 3 Challenger wins
6	Hugo DELLIEN (BOL) - Career High: 326 - 3 ATP wins, 3 Challenger wins
7	Thiago MONTEIRO (BRA) - Career High: 254 - 0 ATP wins, 15 Challenger wins
8	Filip HORANSKY (SVK) - Career High: 541 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
9	Liam BROADY (GBR) - Career High: 467 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
10	Patrick OFNER (AUT) - Career High: 520 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins

I will also look at the new year end top 10s in the world of juniors.

2012 Top Ten

1	Filip PELIWO (CAN) - Career High: 245 - 1 ATP wins, 9 Challenger wins
2	Kimmer COPPEJANS (BEL) - Career High: 244 - 0 ATP wins, 8 Challenger wins
3	Gianluigi QUINZI (ITA) - Career High: 307 - 0 ATP wins, 7 Challenger wins
4	Nick KYRGIOS (AUS) - Career High: 157 - 3 ATP wins, 11 Challenger wins - 1 Challenger title
5	Luke SAVILLE (AUS) - Career High: 320 - 0 ATP wins, 5 Challenger wins
6	Frederico SILVA (POR) - Career High: 575 - 1 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
7	Laslo DJERE (SRB) - Career High: 483 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
8	Nikola MILOJEVIC (SRB) - Career High: 686 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
9	Kaichi UCHIDA (JPN) - Career High: 901 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
10	Elias YMER (SWE) - Career High: 741 - 1 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins

2013 Top Ten

1	Alexander ZVEREV (GER) - Career High: 694 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
2	Borna CORIC (AUS) - Career High: 289 - 0 ATP wins, 1 Challenger wins
3	Gianluigi QUINZI (ITA) - Career High: 307 - 0 ATP wins, 7 Challenger wins
4	Nikola MILOJEVIC (SRB) - Career High: 686 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
5	Stefan KOZLOV (USA) - Career High: 1074 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
6	Christian GARIN (CHI) - Career High: 379 - 2 ATP wins, 7 Challenger wins
7	Johan Sebastien TATLOT (FRA) - Career High: 608 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
8	Francis TIAFOE (USA) - Career High: 1408 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
9	Michael MMOH (USA) - Career High: NR - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins
10	Filippo BALDI (ITA) - Career High: 810 - 0 ATP wins, 0 Challenger wins